Overall, the FE`s estimates strongly support the assumptions, including the proposed causal mechanism. Not only do network influences stimulate DCA formation, but these influences disappear in Dyads with existing DIACs. Figure 10 shows the predictive margins of network variables in both samples, based on the estimates presented in Figure 9. With low levels of reciprocal levels, the probability of countries signing a first DCA is virtually nil. If the reciprocal degree reaches its median value, the probability of a first DCA is close to 75%. But for subsequent chords, designated by the dotted line (red), the degree of reciprocity is virtually irrelevant. Both lanes have an equally dramatic effect. With the minimum value of two lanes, the probability of a first DCA is about 25%. If two paths reach their median value, this probability increases to almost 75%. And as in the case of a reciprocal degree, the effect of two-way agreements on subsequent agreements is virtually nil. These content forecasts confirm the conclusion that network flows depend on information mechanisms and are not false compared to omitted variables. Beijing can also take the following steps to adapt its policy.
First, it should pay tribute to Washington for its role in peace and stability in the region. In the 1970s and 1980s, the United States played an important role in the fight against Soviet expansion in Asia. In the post-Cold War period, it remains an important force for stability. Because of ideological constraints and suspicions of U.S. strategic intentions toward China, Beijing wants to redress U.S. influence over inasis security. However, the recognition of the positive aspect of the U.S. ROLE will help allay Washington`s concerns that China`s long-term strategy is to drive the United States out of East Asia. It will also give more weight to Beijing`s criticism of the drawbacks of U.S.
policy in the region and make Beijing`s position more reasonable on regional security. 1. Since the end of the Vietnam War, the United States has played a key role in maintaining a generally stable security environment in East Asia, and China has made an important contribution to peace and stability in the region, as well as an important beneficiary of peace and stability. In addition to the aforementioned misjudgments about China`s regional intentions, the United States and China also have different conceptions of national and regional security. Reaffirming that the security agreements between Japan and the United States on the basis of the Japan-U.S. Treaty of Cooperation and Security, signed in Washington on January 19, 1960, are the cornerstones of achieving common security objectives.